Jointly supported by Kobe University Center for Social System Innovation / Rokko Forum / Kobe University RIEB Workshop on Economic and Political Research on Latin America
|Date & Time||Friday, November 17, 2023, 15:10 - 16:40|
|Place||Meeting Room at RIEB, Kobe University (Annex, 2nd Floor)|
|Intended Audience||Faculty, Graduate Students, and People with Equivalent Knowledge|
|Remarks||Please complete the registration before November 13.
Registration Form (Due: Nov 13)
15:10 - 16:40
- Peacefully Demobilizing Rebels: Identity, Emotional Cues, and the FARC
- Christopher PARSONS (Business School, University of Western Australia)
- In the early 2000s, the Colombian government aired messages during games of the national football team, urging FARC rebels to demobilize. We first study the strategy's effectiveness, leveraging game dates, kick-off times, and spatial-temporal variation in rain-induced signal strength in a municipality-day-level panel spanning 2003-2016. Over 1, 000 rebels demobilized because of family-themed (but not national-unity-themed) messages, received during unexpected losses (i.e., negative emotional cues). We then model a rebel's demobilization decision, combining identity salience with their emotional state. Finally, we corroborate the model's predictions examining family- versus non-family-specific holidays and local climatic anomalies.