RIEB Seminar

International Symposium on Incomplete Markets

Monday, June 27, 2022, 3:10pm - 5:20pm

International Symposium on Incomplete Markets

Jointly supported by RIEB Seminar / Rokko Theory Seminar / Rokko Forum

Date & Time Monday, June 27, 2022, 3:10pm - 5:20pm
Place Hybrid (Face-to-face / Online Seminar by Zoom)
Intended Audience Faculty, Graduate Students, and People with Equivalent Knowledge
Langage English
Remarks Please complete the registration before June 23. The seminar details will be sent to the registered emails.
Registration Form (Due: June 23)
3:10pm - 4:10pm
Topic
The Arbitrage Pricing Theory in Incomplete Markets
Speaker
Michael ZIERHUT (Institute of Financial Economics, Humboldt University)
Abstract
The arbitrage pricing theory (APT) is traditionally viewed as a descriptive theory: If asset prices are decomposed into systematic and idiosyncratic components, the latter are negligible for almost all assets in large markets. This paper analyzes its role as a predictive theory: When prices of systematic risk factors are estimated by means of linear regression, these estimates are a lower-dimensional representation of a pricing kernel. Such estimates can be used to predict arbitrage-free prices for new assets. Market structure matters: When markets are complete, there is a unique pricing kernel and factor pricing is always arbitrage-free. When markets are incomplete, this method may select a nonpositive pricing kernel. This leads to a problem that is robust in a topological sense: For an open set of arbitrage-free markets, estimated factor models do not assign arbitrage-free prices out of sample. The critical assumption is therefore not that markets grow large, but that markets grow complete.
4:20pm - 5:20pm
Topic
Third-Party Sale of Information
Speaker
In-Uck PARK (School of Economics, University of Bristol)
Abstract
We study design and pricing of information by a monopoly information provider for a buyer in a trading relationship with a seller. The profit-maximizing information structure has a binary threshold character. This structure is inefficient when seller production cost is low. Compared with a situation of no information, the information provider increases welfare if cost is high but reduces it if cost is low. A monopoly provider creates higher welfare than a competitive market in information if the prior distribution of buyer valuations is not too concentrated. Giving the seller a veto over the information contract generates full efficiency.
ENGLISH