RIEBセミナー RIEB Seminar

日時 2016年4月5日(火)午後3時30分から午後5時00分まで
会場 神戸大学経済経営研究所 会議室(新館2階)
対象 教員、院生、および同等の知識をお持ちの方
使用言語 英語
備考 論文のコピーは共同研究推進室にご用意いたします。


報告者 今井 克
所属 マンチェスター大学経済学部
論題 Estimation of Vulnerability to Poverty using a Multilevel Longitudinal Model: Evidence from the Philippines
要旨 This study estimates household vulnerability in the Philippines using a three-level and longitudinal linear random-coefficient model whereby vulnerability is decomposed into idiosyncratic and covariate components. Our three-wave panel data covering the period 2003-2009 allow us to analyse poverty situations in both vulnerability and poverty persistence dimensions. A majority of the poor and 18% of the non-poor are found to be vulnerable to unobservable shocks, while they are more susceptible to unobservable idiosyncratic shocks than to covariate shocks. Adequate safety nets should be provided for vulnerable households with less-educated heads, with more members and dependents, and/or without easy access to transportation infrastructure or irrigation facilities.