神戸大学金融研究会
(Monetary Economics Seminar of Kobe University)

日時:
(Date&Time)
9月30日(土)10時30分から (Saturday, September 30, 10:30〜)
報告者:
(Speaker)
武藤 一郎 氏 (MUTOU Ichirou)
所属:
(Affiliation)
日本銀行金融研究所 (Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies)
論題:
(Topic)
"Can New-Keynesian Phillips Curve Explain Japanese Inflation Dynamics?: A Labor Share Correction Approach"
概要:
(Abstract)

We examine the empirical performance of New-Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) in explaining Japanese inflation dynamics. In order to obtain a better proxy of Japan's real marginal cost (RMC), we correct labor share by incorporating labor adjustment costs and the influence of material prices. Our approach is unique in utilizing the information about firms' judgment on labor gap, which implies the existence of labor adjustment costs. In doing so, we take into account the existence of real wage rigidity, which is brought by some imperfections or frictions in the labor market. The main findings are summarized as follows. First, if we use labor share, the performance of Japanese NKPC is quite poor, which suggests that labor share is not a good proxy of RMC in Japan. Second, if we correct labor share by incorporating labor adjustment costs with considering the existence of real wage rigidity, the fit of NKPC is remarkably improved. Third, if we additionally incorporate the influence of material prices, the fit of Japanese NKPC is further improved, and the resulting persistence of RMC accounts for most of the Japanese inflation persistence. These findings suggest that NKPC is a useful framework in explaining Japanese inflation dynamics if we use a better proxy of RMC by incorporating labor adjustment costs, real wage rigidity, and the influence of material prices.

会場:
(Place)
神戸大学経済経営研究所 会議室(研究所新館2階)
RIEB Meeting Room (New Building 2nd floor)
対象:
(Intended Audience)
基本的に会員制の研究会ですが、非会員で関心のある方の参加も歓迎します。
The seminar is primarily for the workshop members. But non-members are also welcome to attend.
備考:
(Note)

論文のコピーは開催日当日に会場にご用意いたします。
Copies of the paper will be available on that day of the seminar at meeting place.
セミナー参加を希望される方はお手数ですがご氏名、ご所属、ご連絡先(メ-ルアドレス)を事前に研究助成室までご連絡下さい。
If you would like to attend our workshop, please email us at Research Assistant Section your name, affiliation and email address beforehand.