Abstract

This study aims at understanding regional growth dynamics in Japan using nonstationary panel data. Since the panel unit root test does not adequately produce a detailed picture of the development of Japanese prefectures, we follow a panel cointegration approach using the PANIC method. We find that there is one common source of growth to which prefectures attach different long-run weights and that the per capita real income of follower-prefectures will catch up to that of leader-prefectures. Using the concept of relative convergence, we find that although the poor stay poor, the relative income gap will narrow substantially in the future.

Keywords: ƒÀ-convergence, Common trends, Panel unit root test, PANIC method, Relative convergence, Japan

JEL Classification: O40, C22, C23

Masahiko SHIBAMOTO
Research Institute for Economics and Business Administration
Kobe University
Rokkodai-cho, Nada-ku, Kobe
657-8501 Japan
Phone: (81) 78 803 7036
Fax: (81) 78 803 7059

Yoshiro TSUTSUI
Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University

Chisako YAMANE
Faculty of Economics, Niigata Sangyo University